What the framework calls for
Conditions and responses defined by the Exposure Framework. A rule is not a forecast or a guarantee that a trade will succeed.
THE PROJECT 10X PLATFORM
From market evidence
to a decision.
The Exposure Framework connects seven stages: market regime, exposure, take profit, circuit breakers, cycle tops, capital deployment and bottom indicators. Each has a specific job.
The live platform is in development. Explore the framework and published research below.
FROM SIGNAL TO ACTION
PROJECT 10X
Exposure Framework V3
Adding risk on weakness. Reducing risk into cycle tops.
Select a stage to explore its rules.01 / RORO
Weekly newsletterRisk-On Risk-Off
Should I add or reduce exposure?
Risk-On
Has RORO flipped green after a significant drawdown?
Yes Check these confirmations in order.
- 1
Green for two weekly closes?
- 2
If no, has RORO #11 MegaTrend flipped green?
- 3
If no, has there been a clear regime shift?
First confirmation met: increase exposure.
None met: do nothing.
No post-drawdown flip? Continue to the Exposure Rule.
Risk-Off
Has there been a prolonged macro bear or bear-market drawdown?
The V3 check is a prolonged macro bear (4–6 months, macro below 50%) and/or a bear-market-type drawdown.
Yes: do nothing and continue monitoring.
No: reduce exposure to 0%.
After reducing exposure, assess the CDF deployment branch.
Framework V3View original V3 diagram
This is a guide to the decision rules, not a live signal or a trading instruction. Dated readings and commentary are published in the PROJECT 10X research.
INSPECTABLE BY DESIGN
A framework should show its work.
The published RORO study examines roughly seven years and 20 trades. It asks whether the system participated in supportive conditions and stepped aside when the regime broke.
It is a test of the RORO approach, not a live track record for the entire V3 framework. Read the assumptions and individual periods before drawing conclusions.
20trades in the published backtest
~7 yrstested across full market cycles
~3trades per year on average
Backtested and hypothetical, not live performance. Twenty trades is a small sample. Real-world costs and changing market conditions can alter outcomes; historical results are not predictive.
HOW TO READ THE EVIDENCE
Keep the rule,
the test and the record separate.
What historical analysis suggests
Reconstructed periods and hypothetical backtests help inspect behaviour. They depend on assumptions and may benefit from hindsight.
What happened in public
The eToro portfolio is a separate, inspectable implementation record. Its performance must not be substituted for the backtest, or vice versa.
Inspect the public portfolio